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Posts Tagged ‘Bernanke’

Reno’s ELP Capital Seeks OK for Investment Vehicles

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on October 5, 2009

BY JOHN SEELMEYER

ELP Capital Inc. of Reno seeks regulatory

approval for two investment funds that will

target well-heeled sophisticated individual

investors.

Thomas Powell, the chief executive officer

of ELP Capital Inc., says the funds mark an

effort to jump-start the northern Nevada economy

by channeling local investment dollars

into local projects.

The company last week filed a notice with

the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

that it believes the two funds are exempt from

securities regulations because they will be sold

to a limited number of investors or to buyers

who meet the SEC’s standards for accredited

investors. (Those standards include net worth

and annual income for individual investors.)

The ELP Strategic Asset Fund LLC has

raised $450,000 so far, the company said in an

SEC filing. There’s no maximum size on the

fund, and minimum investments are set at

$250,000.

A second fund, ELP Opportunity Fund 1—

GBLL LLC, is planned to raised $2.3 million.

So far, $100,000 has been raised.Minimum

investment in the fund is $50,000.

ELP Capital, incorporated in 2004, has

managed debt and equity financing of real

estate. The company traces its beginnings to

IntoHomes LLC, a residential mortgage lender

launched by Powell in 1999.

Along with Powell, its board includes Jesse

Haw, president of Hawco Properties of Spanish

Springs, and Bob Barone, chairman of Ancora

West Trust Co. in Reno.

Powell, who’s also an author of books and

articles, has argued recently that private

investors can play a major role in getting the

construction and development markets moving

again if they’ll fund stalled quality projects.

“This recession … left a stockpile of quality

real-estate projects to collect dust.Without

proper funding, the projects remain undeveloped,

unproductive and severely underemployed.

Placing our private capital into quality

projects will bolster the number of available

jobs in our communities and get people

behind a meaningful cause,” he wrote in an

essay this month.

ELP Capital expects to charge an annual

management fee of 1 percent of the funds’

assets, and it also may collect a performance

fee.

Along with the two investment funds, ELP

Capital last week filed SEC paperwork for

exempt offerings of securities in two real estate

funds.

One of the filings covers ELP Mortgage

Fund III — The Ridges LLC. The company

said $2.1 million of the $2.5 million fund has

been sold to accredited investors.

The second filing covered ELP Acquisition

Fund—Citi Centre LLC, which has raised

about $3.28 million of a $4.5 million offering.

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Pulling the Unemployed off the Ropes and Into the Fight

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 25, 2009

Obama Plane

As markets continue to produce signs of stabilization over the next quarter, it is unlikely that unemployment figures will show much improvement. With figures the highest they have been in more than 25 years, unemployment appears to have neared its peak. Lowering the rate to levels our economy can adequately support will prove to be a daunting task. But, with a little encouragement the corporate sector certainly has the power to handle it.
Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was quoted by multiple major news sources after he told the Brookings Institute, “The recession is likely over at this point.” According to Bernanke, the economy appears to be growing, but not at a pace that will be sufficient for lowering the unemployment rate. Historically, economic upturns after recessions have been stamped with consumer demand. This time around, however, many Americans may not have the ability to help lead a recovery because they have been completely wiped out financially.
In order to spur consumer-led demand, the corporate sector will again have to make jobs readily available. The unemployed are not the kind of consumers that are needed to invigorate our economy and induce growth. We do not need to turn to an economics textbook to tell us that our broken economic cycle can be patched with more available jobs—this much we know.
Corporations large and small have been forced to adapt to this constricted economy and the majority of them were required to do so through downsizing. Now, company leaders are reluctant to increase their workforce until they are confident there is a significant increase in demand for their products and services. But, one strong possibility that could provide the encouragement needed to get company leaders hiring again is a temporary change in corporate tax policy.
A temporary tax break aimed at equaling the payroll costs of adding new employees would strip the risk for companies that are awaiting a full-blown recovery before they hire. Plus, according to a recent article published in The Wall Street Journal:
“The impact of a two-year program on the federal deficit would be relatively modest. Using a conservative set of assumptions, an $18 billion annual program, which represents 10% of estimated corporate tax receipts in the next fiscal year could create nearly 600,000 good-paying jobs …”

Before they commit to hiring, companies are waiting for consumers to spend. But, before consumers commit to spending, they are waiting for companies to hire. The cycle is stagnant and will remain so until one side is persuaded to change their behavior. A government-sponsored tax break for companies that agree to hire could be the first action taken during this recession that encourages our country’s government, companies and individuals to work together.

Capital River is Frozen; We Can Thaw it

Because of the severe impact of the recession, the stream of capital that once flooded our economy has been reduced to a trickle. The majority of the flow evaporated when banks were forced by the Fed to tighten their lending standards as delinquent loans polluted their books. Consequently, failing to restore the flow is making it extremely difficult for the Fed to take progressive measures toward recovery and has the potential to drop us back into another recession.
According to Bloomberg.com:
“The Fed’s second-quarter survey of senior loan officers, released Aug. 17, showed U.S. banks tightened standards on all types of loans and said they expect to maintain strict criteria on lending until at least the second half of 2010.”

With dropping values in commercial real estate, rising unemployment numbers and a seemingly unending onslaught of delinquent mortgages; banks are not lacking reasons to practice strict lending measures. Earlier this year, through a series of stress tests, the Fed found that 19 of the country’s largest banks needed $75 billion in new capital to protect themselves from mounting losses.
With all of my recent writings and blog postings concerning the benefits of getting our private capital back in the game, I am by no means hiding my agenda for restoring capital flow. The economy will only be repaired once the flow of capital is rejuvenated. It is much easier to lead capital tributaries back into the main stream if they are first flowing. Over the next couple of quarters, banks will continue to deleverage and work toward a balanced lending system. But, without raising more private capital, banks will not be able to establish a lending system that enables credit-worthy individuals and businesses to acquire reasonable loans; which puts an enormous restraint on economic progress.
Our economy is already positioned to attempt to force a jobless recovery, which will certainly create complications in sustaining a recovery. Trying to force a credit-less recovery will only exacerbate our struggles. Dragging our banks through a painful recovery without sufficient capital will only position them to break and lead us right back through more of the same. By identifying ways to put our private capital back into the equation we are positioning our financial system to rise from this recession stronger and more efficient. By investing in private enterprise, we are sparking long-term, mutually-beneficial relationships between capital-producing businesses and banks (while also earning gracious returns on our initial investments). Now is the time to put our private capital back to work.

Without Our Capital, Banks Get the Axe

Our private capital plays an integral part in our local economies—which then all collectively have crucial roles in our country’s financial stability. Because banks have become over-reliant on easy credit, they are now struggling to keep their businesses running by raising capital the old fashioned way. Without our capital, our banks (and more importantly our communities) cannot function properly. Not able to fulfill their debt obligations, banks are closing their doors and falling under the control of the FDIC; which “estimates bank failures will cost the fund about $70 billion through 2013.”
Banks are necessary to ensure that money circulates in our communities. They distribute the money of their depositors to borrowers who have a worthwhile purpose for the money. The banks secure our savings and lend the money to companies or individuals. Banks provide a convenient location for borrowers to acquire funds. Without banks, companies would find it very difficult to borrow large sums of money.
While banks perform their role as intermediaries, they also essentially increase the supply of money. By accepting deposits from its customers and loaning the money to worthy borrowers, banks “create” money. Consider the following simple example. Imagine a customer deposits $20,000 into her bank account. Even though the bills are no longer in circulation, the amount of money in our country does not change as a result of the deposit. Allowing the money to simply sit in the bank’s safe would not earn the bank anything. Therefore, the bank lends $10,000 to an entrepreneur in return for an additional interest fee. The depositor still has a $20,000 credit in her account and the entrepreneur has $10,000, therefore the money supply has increased by $10,000. The entrepreneur purchases supplies with the money and creates a product that he sells for a profit. As long as banks have depositors, they are able play their crucial role of increasing the money supply by making funds available to those looking to find backing for their ventures.
The word “bank” itself is derived from the Italian word “banca,” which referred to the table on which coins were counted and exchanged in the middle ages. “Bancarotta,” from which the word “bankrupt” was derived, means “broken bank.” Originally, if a banker was unable to pay his debts, the authorities arrived to smash his table in half with an axe. Today, the FDIC seizes failed banks and seeks buyers for their branches, deposits and faulty loans—all, for some reason, without smashing anything with an axe.

All my best,

Thomas J. Powell

 

 

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Ghost of Recessions Past

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 24, 2009

Maybe this is all a bad dream, and like Dickens’ Ebenezer Scrooge, a voice from the past is warning financial regulators.
Former Fed chairman Paul Volcker testified in front of the House Financial Services Committee today. Look at the excerpt from his prepared statement. He warns that the Fed’s reaction to the recent crisis may actually increase the likelihood of future collapse. By creating a safety net for the too-big-to fail banks, Volcker argues, we are exposing the financial system to more risk!
Paul Volcker is no stranger to economic crisis. As head of the fed from 1979-1987, Volcker helped steer the economy out of the infamous ‘stagflation’ of the late 1970s. Stagflation was an economic anomaly: high unemployment combined with inflation and negative growth rates. Many hail Reagan’s deregulatory policies as the solution. But this was only a piece of the puzzle. Volcker headed the Fed at a time when the structure of the world economy was undergoing an historic shift. The international monetary system had collapsed and, like today, monetary policy was ineffective at solving the nation’s problems. Volcker oversaw a dynamic shift in how we value currencies and conduct monetary policy.
Why is all this important? Because 82-year-old Volcker is saying the same thing I am. Instead of looking at real changes to the system itself, like Volcker did, regulators continue to recklessly throw money at the problem. Fortunately for us, we are not facing stagflation. The problem today is the steady deflation of our wealth. However, the lesson is the same: let’s look at ways to change the system instead of perpetuating the cycle with safety nets. Volcker suggested re-instating Glass-Steagall. This should reduce big bank’s incentives to gamble our wealth away.
I also agree with his stance that smaller institutions are getting squeezed out of the economy. If the government only backs a small handful of participants, how will smaller private firms compete? Without those firms we will never return to prosperity.
So let’s take a minute to heed Volcker’s advice. It’s more than Obama is doing. Volcker may be one of the president’s chief advisors, but he’s not listening. Unlike Dickens’ tale, this is not a dream. I think Volcker’s advice will haunt the halls in Washington for a long time.

Tom

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The Great Recession is not over

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 24, 2009

While Wall Street celebrates the apparent passing of systemic financial failure, there is a different reality on America’s streets. The Great Recession is not over. Millions of jobs have been lost, and most people’s incomes have fallen. So has America’s ability to consume and pay down debt. Because consumption is the most important component of GDP in America, without shoppers filling stores, production, income and job growth will remain weak.
A side effect of reduced incomes is falling prices. When consumers feel financially pinched, they become more frugal. Wariness to spend forces businesses to lower prices in an effort to entice shoppers. Rents, too, will continue to fall as massive home and commercial real estate supply compete for available renters.
For years, the answer to every income short fall was credit. Want some new $250 jeans – Charge it! Don’t have cash for the big ticket item? – Put it on an adjustable rate payment plan. Trillions of dollars were pulled out of homes as prices soared, with the money spent on improvements, trips, and a multitude of consumer goods. Now, this debt is coming due, and incomes are falling!
In short, the great boom of the last twenty years was a story of debt expansion. As long as credit kept growing, more money could be spent. Easy money created a multi decade spending boom, which created an illusion of affluence. But, the credit party is over. The only way out is to spend less and pay off debt. Unfortunately both society and our political process are in denial. History has shown that every debt bubble ends the same way – prices fall until existing incomes can support them. All of the debt spending in Washington only delays the inevitable deflationary pain, and that new debt weakens us as an international economic power.
To finish the story, lower income will, along with tight credit, push down a buyer’s ability to support high rents. Lower rents make real estate less enticing as an investment until the property prices fall far enough to align with the new lower rent levels. Here in Nevada, this saga continues.
On the bright side, many are rediscovering the simple things in life. Family and friends are more important than weekends in Las Vegas! Perhaps this reality check will bring us back to what made this country the greatest in the world, namely, hard work and entrepreneurship.
Matt Marcewicz
Robert Barone, Ph.D.
Robert Barone and Matt Marcewicz are Investment Advisor Representatives of Ancora West Advisors LLC an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. They are also a Registered Representatives of Ancora Securities, Inc. (Member FINRA/SIPC). Mr. Barone is a Principal of Ancora West Advisors and a Registered Principal of Ancora Securities.

Robert’s Blog

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Cambridge AMDP Newsletter

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 24, 2009

Check out my recent entry in the AMDP Alumni Newsletter.
Cambridge AMD Alumni Newsletter

Best Wishes,

Thomas J. Powell

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Main Street Versus Wall Street

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 22, 2009

While Wall Street is celebrating an end to the recession, folks on Main Street know better. Jobs are still disappearing. It is widely acknowledged that America’s small businesses are the engine of job creation. So, the recession won’t end until small business expands. For this to happen, access to credit for working capital is essential.
We should all be disturbed, then, that our government has used trillions of our taxpayer dollars to save Wall Street while ignoring the financial institutions on Main Street who actually lend to small businesses (the community financial institutions). The number of troubled institutions on the FDIC’s list is now 416, mostly community institutions. With their insurance fund nearly depleted, it is a certainty that the FDIC will soon be using its Treasury line of credit. As long as they are now using our taxpayer money, shouldn’t these community institutions get the same treatment that the large Wall Street firms received (i.e., access to funds to shore up their capital bases until the recession ends)? Most of the troubled institutions are in the states hardest hit by the real estate bubble, i.e., AZ, CA, FL, and NV. Their assets are troubled, not because they made speculative bets on funny new financial instruments (like Wall Street did), but because their economies have tanked.
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, since TARP and other funds were given to the behemoths, business loans have declined every single month (Oct. ’08 through July ‘09). So much for the requirement that these folks increase loans to businesses. It appears that the TARP funds were either pocketed as unconscionable bonuses or went into shoring up the capital bases of these institutions that now prowl the countryside looking for takeover targets and requiring taxpayer participation in losses (the normal FDIC practice) when takeover occurs.
I have seen several in depth studies that indicate that today’s financial structure does not have the capacity to refinance the debt already out there that will be coming due in the next five years. Fortune 500 companies don’t have to worry because the now saved Wall Street banks will fund them. But, unless America’s community institutions get equal access to TARP, America’s small businesses won’t get the liquidity or credit they need to expand. So much for job creation!
The political party that now controls both Congress and the Presidency say they represent the “little guy”. So far, they have only aided the rich and greedy on Wall Street.

Guest Blogger,

Robert Barone, Ph.D.
Robert Barone is a Principal and an Investment Advisor Representative of Ancora West Advisors LLC an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. He is also a Registered Representative and a Registered Principal of Ancora Securities, Inc. (Member FINRA/SIPC).

Robert’s Blog

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Too Big To Learn

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 18, 2009

024_rollerCoaster_SEP With a bad habit of ignoring profound systemic problems, Federal Treasury officials are now securing a system that encourages the same careless risk-taking that originally got us into this mess. With this week marking the one-year anniversary since Lehman Brothers imploded, it is only appropriate to discuss the faulty system that protects and rewards failing financial institutions.
The talking heads in charge of the world’s financial practices are on path to deliver more of the pain and suffering we have been experiencing over the past 20 plus months. The Lehman Brothers’ collapse last year showed us how brutal a large bank failure can be. Now, because of the mess caused by Lehman’s demise, it is unlikely that our government would again allow an institution of similar size to fail. This essentially gives big banks a free pass to misbehave. If you owned a business that was referred to as “too big to fail,” and you knew the government would do all they could to keep your doors open, would you not be inclined to take risks? It is like giving a six year old the keys to a candy factory and a set of cavity-resistant teeth. All risk is stripped away, so why not have some fun?
By receiving government funds, big banks are allowed to carelessly take on high degrees of risk, knowing that there is a safety net underneath them. This recession has been gut-wrenching. It has badly battered our economy and exposed wounds that will not heal in our lifetimes. No one wants to experience a downturn of this size again. But, if officials continue to foster an environment that rewards carelessness by major financial institutions, we will inevitably get more rounds of the same. While we should be demanding big banks to practice prudent due diligence, we are instead enabling them to write off any level of accountability. This recession should have been a major wake-up call for all businesses, but those institutions deemed “too big to fail” have also been allowed to be “too big to learn.”

Top Five of the Bad, Bottom Five of the Good

Ravaged by the bursting of the real estate bubble, Nevada is among the states with the deepest wounds. Historically, our state has been in the top or bottom five of the most-unappealing statistically-compiled lists put out by major media. Unfavorable, sure, but we all choose to live here for one good reason or another. For instance, our tax structure keeps Nevada among the most business-friendly states in the country. For this reason, we have highly-competitive local markets and capitalism thrives here. Our state officials are somewhat handcuffed because of our demand to keep government out of our businesses as much as possible. By adopting and supporting this system, Nevadans have agreed to take on more personal responsibility when it comes to providing our own financial security—and we are now being put to the test.
Across our country, state officials are scrambling for ideas that will simultaneously better their state’s situation and put them in the position of being quality leaders. In Nevada, our elected officials have considered bringing in a pricey third-party consultant to advise them on how to progress the state. This means not only are the individuals we put in office to make vital decisions not carrying out their duty, but now we will also foot the bill for a new position. We elected these authorities to represent us; not lead us, by way of expensive consultation, in an undesirable direction. With that said, when we elect them we do not, in turn, remove ourselves from the equation. We are not reduced to waiting on our state leaders to be proactive.
These are extremely trying times for our country. The recovery is going to be led by us via our private capital and our private enterprise. The government does not have a weapon in its repertoire that comes close to matching the power of our collective private resources. Across the U.S., and particularly in our state, there is an abundant supply of quality projects that have been postponed due to insufficient capital. Because success requires both money and knowledge, every successful idea struggles with acquiring adequate funding at least once throughout the process. Every successful venture has to be properly backed and the majority of the backing comes from private capital. At the end of the day we, the people, are the engine that runs our country.
Nevada is riddled with quality projects that could be going forward with proper capital and qualified management. We now have to be proactive in matching the two. Being among the top five states in the country in foreclosures, troubled institutions and bank closures does not mean we cannot also be among the top five states to emerge from this recession.

Survival of the Government-Backed Banks

Even the banks that did not become entangled in the shaky investment strategies of Wall Street during the boom still indirectly had their knees taken out from beneath them throughout this meltdown. According to CNBC.com, 92 banks have failed in the U.S. through the first nine months of 2009; including three here in Nevada. As a comparison, in all of 2008 only 25 banks closed.
In any meltdown, the government’s focus is on the big banks that have the potential to buckle our country’s financial system if they go under. But, that focus leads to a distinct advantage for big banks over their competition. Having government support allows the bigger banks the power to go out and collect the majority of the available capital, while smaller banks are forced to scavenge. This crisis has presented terrible obstacles for banks to raise the capital lifeblood needed to remain in business. Without liquid capital, smaller banks are consumed by their debts. With losses on commercial real-estate loans rising, the smaller banks that feed credit into our communities are drowning.
When governments support the behemoth banks and allow the smaller banks to sink, they essentially help eliminate the competition needed to improve our financial system. Without intervention, smaller banks are generally able to pose a competitive threat to the large firms because they are more apt to find ways to be faster, smarter and more strategic. It has always been a staple in American capitalism to save a place in our economy for smaller businesses because they push against the bigger corporations and keep them honest.
Competition in the banking industry leads to a financial system that operates more efficiently. By helping to eliminate competition, our government is essentially allowing the largest banks to monopolize the industry. By supporting the large and abandoning the small, our government is positioning us to face a much weaker economic recovery than if the innovative smaller firms were allowed to compete fairly. We are essentially heading in the same direction as Europe, which has long had its bank assets heavily concentrated in massive firms. The tactic may make it easier for governments to regulate financial systems, but it also eliminates the capitalistic nature that has made our banking industry the strongest in the world.

NEXT WEEK: Banks as Intermediaries

All my best,

Thomas J Powell

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Housing: “The Worst is Over” A Numbers Game

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 17, 2009

Many are touting “the worst is over” for the housing market, but I’m not ready to agree. We had some good news today. Housing starts are up, slightly, and prices are up a hair. In order to understand what’s really going on though, we have to take a look beyond numbers. There are a few good reasons for stabilization in the housing markets- low interest rates, good deals and the first-time homebuyer credit. Notice anything in common? None of these are permanent factors. Low interest rates have created an incentive to refinance as much to purchase new homes. As the Washington Business Journal states, two-thirds of new loans have been from refinancing. Once the glut of foreclosures has been gobbled up, there is little room for increased sales from cheap housing. Don’t get me wrong, this may be a good thing, point is, it won’t last forever. And finally, the tax credit for new homebuyers is set to expire in November, right around the time housing traditionally slows down.

Looking forward, I see the real possibility of another decline. The Deutsche Bank agrees. They expect a 10 percent correction in the US market. To make things worse, mortgage delinquencies are on the rise. Credit default is up across the board and as unemployment continues to rise, default will increase. As I mentioned before, unemployment will lag for a long time, even if the rest of the economy is humming. So don’t count on significant gains anytime soon.

If it seems like I’m preaching doomsday here, I’m not. I’m just hesitant to buy the administration’s optimism. Yes, Bernanke’s emergency loan facilities stabilized the system. Congress’ schemes have reaped small rewards. But these are emergency measures, not long-term fixes. They, like me, are waiting for the private markets to start flowing again.

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The Recession is Very Likely Over? Don’t Bet on it!

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 16, 2009

As I posted yesterday, Bernanke was quoted as saying the current recession is most likely over. Cheers may have been heard around the dinner table and throughout the board rooms and trading rooms around the country.

But wait, not so fast. Understand what it means when Bernanke says the Recession is most likely over. What he is telling all of us is that the FALL is most likely over. Take for example the stock market. At its highest point, the market reached 14164; 6547 has been its low. Today we are sitting at 9791 as I write this post, which is just under a 50% gain from its low point. This is one of the numbers that has everyone cheering, correct?

Remember, at 9791 we are STILL nearly 50% UNDER the high of the market from the low point. This means we have a long way to go before getting back to EVEN. We can applaud our progress and slap ourselves on the back, but true growth is most likely going to be a slow climb back up the mountain.

I saw numbers that show a 2.7% gain in retail sales for August, along with applause for the largest growth in three years. Are you sitting out there like I am wondering how foolish the government thinks we are, knowing those numbers are almost certainly the result of the Cash for Clunkers program? I am very curious to see the “miraculous” September numbers, as I shockingly think they may go back to a flatline position without the assistance of $3 Billion in government aid.

As much as I am crossing my fingers that this Recession is in the record books and we can stick a fork in it, I wouldn’t bet on it. Especially for those of us in small business, the entrepreneurs and the foundation of our country’s work environment. Until capital is made available again in the market, business will continue to suffer, unemployment will continue to stalk us, and no true recovery will be made. That you can bet on.

I look forward to hearing your feedback.

All my best,

Thomas J Powell

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Recession and Recovery- Mixed Signals

Posted by Thomas J. Powell on September 15, 2009

Today’s news from the Fed has been optimistic. Bernanke says the recession might be over, but what does that mean for us? In technical terms, a recession is two consecutive quarters of zero growth. It looks like we are beating that trend. So what? Cheer the administration, forget about the troubled financial industry and move on right? Wrong. Krugman points out that, although the recession is technically ending, we’re not out of the woods yet. Unemployment, as expected, will remain high for years to come. Compared to where we were two years ago, the US faces an enormous output gap, something around a trillion dollars a year. According to Condgon from the IMF, the broader monetary base has been shrinking. The Fed’s insistence on boosting capital ratio’s may be back firing here: if banks are required to increase capital ratio’s there is less to lend, and subsequently a decreased capacity to grow. Despite decent news from Bernanke, a shrinking money supply points to deflation. Instead of recovery, we may be looking at a double-dip recession. That’s when we start to recover, only to fall flat again.
How do we avoid another, possibly deeper recession? Krugman argues for more stimulus. Condgon expects monetary easing. I must reiterate my core values here. The recovery will come when smaller firms have adequate access to capital. Private capital will pull us out, not more stimulus. Quantitative easing has brought us to near-zero interest rates with no affect on output. How exactly is monetary policy going to work if money continues to contract? As for fiscal stimulus, wouldn’t that bring us back to where we are now, a slow recovery with continued high unemployment?
Let’s get away from big government bail-out schemes and let capitalism do its job. In today’s WSJ, Cochrane and Zingales argue against the too-big-to-fail doctrine. If banks don’t fail, bankers have no incentive to react to risk. It’s called moral hazard- tails I win, heads you loose. The too-big-to fail doctrine flies in the face of a hundred years of economic theory. One of capitalism’s grand fathers, Joseph Schumpeter, argued for “creative destruction,” a process that enables the most efficient distribution of capital. If banks cannot fail, the industry cannot correct itself. The system has forgotten Schumpeter. It no longer rewards the most productive enterprises. Instead, the government has transferred trillions of dollars to failed enterprises. The result isn’t capitalism, but some corrupt form of corporate banditry.

All my best,

Thomas J Powell

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